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Automakers will be announcement U.S. new car sales for September abutting Tuesday. Here are estimates from two industry assay firms for what we can apprehend to see.



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Automakers endured a aflutter ages in September as car sales addle and all-embracing appeal couldn’t bout the levels from aftermost year, aback Americans rushed out to alter cartage destroyed by Hurricane Harvey.

Edmunds analysts forecasted an all-embracing 8.3 percent decline, while Cox Automotive analysts projected a 7.2 percent decline.



Ford, Toyota, Nissan and Honda appear sales declines of 11.2 percent, 10.4 percent, 12.2 percent and 7 percent, respectively.

Sales of commuter cars accounted for abundant of the industry’s decline. They connected to attempt in September as buyers flocked to SUVs, crossovers and pickups.

That’s abundantly a assisting trend for automakers, which about accomplish added money on beyond vehicles. But automakers haven’t been able to acclimatize to the about-face bound enough, causing them to abatement commuter cars to get them off the lot.

“It was a bloodbath for cars this month,” Autotrader analyst Michelle Krebs said.

One key exception: Fiat Chrysler, which ditched best of its commuter cars years ago, has capitalized on the trend to SUVs. Its Jeep SUV cast is flourishing, announcement a 14.1 percent access in September and arch Fiat Chrysler to outsell Ford by about 2,400 cartage for the month – a aberration in the aggressive auto sector.

General Motors, the better automaker in the U.S., no best letters account sales but its anniversary sales address showed it’s experiencing a agnate trend of crumbling car sales and accretion SUV sales.

Despite the car struggles, the all-embracing sales amount for the auto industry charcoal at almost aerial levels. The able job and apartment markets are befitting consumers almost assured about affairs big-ticket items.

“The bazaar still charcoal on adequately close ground,” said Charlie Chesbrough, arch economist for Cox Automotive.

But ascent absorption ante and the abhorrence of tariffs may accept nudged some shoppers to buy cartage aboriginal in contempo months.

“That acceptable pulled advanced purchases that contrarily would accept occurred backward into the year and potentially into abutting year,” said Jonathan Smoke, arch economist for Cox Automotive.

The boilerplate anniversary absorption amount on a new agent in September was 5.8 percent, up from 4.8 percent a year ago, according to Edmunds. Those increases axis from the Federal Reserve’s contempo interest-rate hikes, which are called to the able economy.

Only 5.6 percent of buyers are accepting 0 percent interest-rate loans now, bottomward from 10.1 percent a year ago, according to Edmunds.

But agent prices abide to rise. Prices averaged $35,742 in September, up 2 percent from a year earlier, according to Kelley Blue Book.

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“The trickle-down aftereffect of animated absorption ante absolutely started hitting car shoppers in September,” wrote Jeremy Acevedo, Edmunds’ administrator of industry analysis. “While new agent prices abide to rise, favorable acclaim offerings are growing added added difficult to appear by,” he said, adding: “Buying altitude are far beneath acquiescent for consumers than they were before, which ability appear as a shock for shoppers advancing aback to the bazaar for the aboriginal time in a few years.”

Here’s how the above automakers fared in September:

Edmunds forecast: -15.4 percent

Cox Automotive forecast: -15.8 percent

Actual : GM no best letters account sales.results

The aggregation appear third-quarter sales of 694,638 vehicles, bottomward 11.1 percent from a year earlier.

The Chevrolet, GMC, Cadillac and Buick brands beneath 11.4 percent, 11.3 percent, 10.7 percent and 7.3 percent, respectively.

Edmunds forecast: -10 percent

Cox Automotive forecast: -10.7 percent

Actual results: -11.2 percent (197,404 vehicles)

Ford’s commuter car sales connected to bead in September as the aggregation accouterment into sales of mostly trucks, vans and SUVs.

Car sales fell 25.7 percent, while SUV sales were bottomward 2.7 percent and barter sales were bottomward 9.9 percent.

The F-series pickup, which qualifies as the best accepted archetypal in the U.S., fell 8.8 percent to 75,092.

Overall, the Ford cast recorded an 11.3 percent sales decline, while the affluence Lincoln calendar was bottomward 7.2 percent.

Edmunds forecast: 6.7 percent

Cox Automotive forecast: 9 percent

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Actual results: 14.7 percent (199,819 vehicles)

Fiat Chrysler outsold Ford for the month – a attenuate accident but not absolutely abrupt accustomed the surging Jeep brand.

Jeep rose 14.1 percent to 83,764 vehicles, capitalizing on the SUV bang and contempo agent redesigns.

The Dodge cast additionally recorded a above increase, ascent 40.6 percent. Ram was up 9.2 percent, the Chrysler cast was bottomward 6.8 percent, the Fiat cast beneath 46.3 percent and the Alfa Romeo cast added 29.3 percent.

Edmunds forecast: -7.9 percent

Cox Automotive forecast: -6 percent

Actual results: -10.4 percent (203,098 vehicles)

The Toyota cast beneath 10.9 percent, while the Lexus affluence cast was bottomward 6.1 percent.

Car sales beneath 25.2 percent, while sales of trucks, SUVs and crossovers rose 1.1 percent.

Edmunds forecast: -3.9 percent

Cox Automotive forecast: -1.9 percent

Actual results: -7 percent (132,668 vehicles)

Honda’s namesake cast reocrded an 8.2 percent abatement for the month, while the affluence Acura cast rose 4.4 percent.

Overall passenger-car sales beneath 19.4 percent, while sales of pickups, SUVs and crossovers rose 6.3 percent.

The company’s time-tested Civic and Accord sedans accept been clumsy to escape the trend abroad from commuter cars. They acquaint declines of 30 percent and 14.9 percent, respectively, for the month.

But the Honda Pilot connected its hot streak, recording a 50.2 percent sales access to 15,464 units.

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Edmunds forecast: -19.7 percent

Cox Automotive forecast: -25 percent

Actual results: -12.2 percent (122,819 vehicles)

The Japanese automaker outperformed expectations for the ages but was still bottomward sharply. Sales of the company’s SUVs, crossovers and pickups rose 6.6 percent.

But sales of Nissan’s commuter cars plunged 35.7 percent.

Edmunds forecast: -7.6 percent

Cox Automotive forecast: -4.1 percent

Actual results: Hyundai was up 0.6 percent to 57,359. Sibling cast Kia was bottomward 1.8 percent to 51,503.

Edmunds forecast: (not provided)

Cox Automotive forecast: 12.5 percent

Actual : 57,044, up 3.5 percent

Subaru enjoyed its best-ever September as the brand’s sales hot band continues.

Edmunds forecast: -3.3 percent (VW and Audi brands)

Cox Automotive forecast: 0.9 percent (VW, Audi and Porsche brands)

Actual results: The VW cast was bottomward 4.8 percent to 30,555. Porsche had its best-ever September with sales of 5,102 vehicles, up 0.8 percent.

Follow USA TODAY anchorman Nathan Bomey on Twitter @NathanBomey.

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Last Updated: October 5th, 2018 by admin2
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